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摘要:文章从国际和历史的角度,应用中国六次人口普查数据,分析和总结当代中国人口性别结构的演变历程和特征。运用人口学因素分解的方法,将出生性别比、死亡率性别差异和年龄结构3个驱动因素对人口性别结构演变的影响程度量化分离。研究表明,当代中国人口性别结构的演变特征随着这3个因素的变动而变化:长期的出生性别比偏高对人口性别失衡的积累作用凸显,其对中国人口性别......
[Abstract] In this paper, we present a framework for considering whether the marginal social benefits of demographic and social science research on various health conditions in developing countries are likely to be relatively high. Based on this framework, we argue that the relative current and future predicted prevalence of burdens of ......
Abstract: This article draws on a survey conducted in six provinces in summer 2008 to investigate the determinants of son preference in rural china. The analysis confirms the conventional wisdom that son preference is embedded within patrilineal family structures and practices. We extend our analysis by exploring specific aspects of variation with......
Abstract: On the basis of growth accounting equation, we estimate the natural growth rate of output in the period from 1978 to 2009, and predict it in periods of the 12th FYP and 13th FYP. We find the natural growth rate of output will decline to 7.8 percent in 2011-2015 and to 6.3 percent in 2016-2020. Improving the labor force participation rate ......
摘要: 网络家庭是诸个父系血缘关系家庭的集合体,网络家庭分析是认识家庭之间关系形式和状态的重要视角。网络家庭的形成原则一是以直系单元家庭为主、旁系单元家庭为辅,二是以父子、兄弟单元家庭为核心。网络家庭之"网"产生于"本家庭"的分化,由此形成"支家庭",本—支单元家庭关系得以建立。河北省三县调查表明,农村60岁以上、且有子女的老年人超过80%生活在网络家庭的单元之中。......
本次论坛总结了半年以来“人口所青年双周学术研讨会”的实施情况,评估了论坛的成效,明确了有待完善和改进之处,重点讨论了未来如何更好地办好双周论坛。参会人员热烈讨论、集思广益,并达成了一些重要共识。
一、半年来双周论坛的实施情况
2013年1月16日双周论坛正式启动,截至6月1日成功召开6次。其中,本所青年学者报告4次,所外青年学者报告2次。平均每场报告......
过去的十年,是中国农业和农村发展最好的十年。直观上,我们废除了农业税,粮食产量接近于实现了“十连增”,农民收入大幅度提高,农业和非农产业的关系、城市和农村的关系也得到了大幅度的改进。这些都是“三农”发展很重要的方面。但我们沿着现有的道路走下去能不能实现农业现代化,仍然是一个值得探讨和思考的问题。如果将中国的农业发展划分为不同的阶段......
Abstract: This paper, using latest China urban labor survey (CULS3), examines those sources of wage gap in different employment type based on income inequality decomposition of informal heterogeneity. Research results show, after control error of employment selection and individual characteristics, though it is not explained all resources of wage d......
摘要:清代中期,民间社会存在着冲击包办婚姻和传统婚姻伦理、规范的行为基础。政府努力维护现存的婚姻秩序,坚定不移地保护父母的主婚权;男女自主择偶的行为被有效制止;官方充分肯定契约订婚的合法性,而解除婚约受到极大限制,实际上是对低质量婚姻的保护。 关键词:清代中期; 婚姻缔结; 主婚权; 包办婚 An Inquiry of the Conflicts in Engagement in the Middle ......
The rise in educational enrolment is often cited as a possible cause of the trend to later childbearing in developed societies but direct evidence of its contribution to the aggregate change in fertility tempo is scarce. We show that rising enrolment, resulting in later ages at the end of education, accounts for a substantial part of the upward shi......