一个国家或地区的长期经济发展绩效，不仅取决于一定时期的经济增长速度，更重要的在于增长速度的可持续性以及经济增长的质量。改革开放以来，中国在连续!% 年实现了世界经济史上罕见的经济增长成绩的同时，经济增长中仍然存在着诸多制约因素，对未来经济增长的可持续性提出了严峻的挑战。特别是，当有利于经济高速增长的人口条件开......

中华人民共和国国务院令 第271号 《城市居民最低生活保障条例》已经国务院第21次常务会议通过，现予发布，自1999年10月1日起施行。 总理  朱镕基一九九九年九月二十八日　　第一条　为了规范城市居民最低生活保障制度，保障城市居民基本生活，制定本条例。　　第二条　持有非农业户口的城市居民，凡共同生活的家庭成员人均收入低于当地城市居民最低生活保障......

　　中国就业政策的国际视角
　　………………………………………………………………蔡昉  Richard Freeman  Adrian Wood （3）
　　产业转型与大学生就业难
　　………………………………………………………………………………姚先国 张海峰 乐君杰 （34）
　　当前大学生实际失业率及微观决定机制研究
　　…………………………………………………………………………………孙......

Previous studies have shown that the risk of divorce is low during the first months of marriage; it then increases, reaches a maximum, and thereafter begins to decline. Some researchers consider this pattern consistent with the notion of a “seven-year itch,” while others argue that the rising-falling pattern of divorce risk is a consequence of mi......

Abstract: In this article, we show how stochastic diffusion models can be used to forecast demographic cohort processes using the Hernes, Gompertz, and logistic models. Such models have been used deterministically in the past, but both behavioral theory and forecast utility are improved by introducing randomness and uncertainty into the standard di......

    由中国社会科学院人口与劳动经济研究所郑真真研究员领导的创新团队主办的“人口老龄化相关研究：数据与分析方法”学术研讨会与2013年9月3日在北京召开，来自北京大学、中国人民大学、复旦大学等高校和中国社会科学院的20余位专家学者出席会议。会议主要议题包括相关调查与数据介绍、老龄健康与影响因素、人口老龄化及社会经济因素、人口老龄化的社会经济影响......

An international transition away from familially arranged marriages toward participation in spouse choice has endured for decades and continues to spread through rural Asia today. Although we know that this transformation has important consequences for childbearing early in marriage, we know much less about longer-term consequences of this marital ......

[Abstract]   We connect the recent medical and economic literatures on the long-run effects of early-life conditions by analyzing the effects of economic conditions on the individual cardiovascular (CV) mortality rate later in life, using individual data records from the Danish Twin Registry covering births since the 1870s and including t......

摘要:文章着重就开展社会变革与当代农村婚姻家庭变动研究的意义 ,迄今这方面研究的状态、不足 ,分析视角等作了初步考察。指出 1 940～ 1 990年是中国农村社会变革最剧烈的时期 ,农民的婚姻家庭行为所受触动之大是史无前例的。目前完整经历过社会变革影响的人口群体和调查对象日渐萎缩和减少 ,因而非常有必要加大对这一研究的投入。 关键词: 农村； 婚姻家庭； 社会变革 A ......

Background: Depending on whether the global level of fertility is assumed to converge to the current European TFR (~1.5) or that of Southeast Asia or Central America (~2.5), global population will either decline to 2.3-2.9 billion by 2200 or increase to 33-37 billion, if mortality continues to decline. Furthermore, sizeable human populations exist ......